Steelers at Chargers Predictions: Point Spread, Total, Player Accessories, Trends for ‘Sunday Night Football’


The Pittsburgh Steelers and Los Angeles Chargers will close Sunday’s action in Week 11 when these two AFC teams face off in prime time for “Sunday Night Football”. Both of these teams were held out of the winning column last time with the Chargers falling to the Minnesota Vikings, while the Steelers were tied with the Detroit Lions. Despite these results, each of these teams is looking for a playoff spot in the conference, which gives this competition even more weight.

It should be noted that this game also has a COVID-19 angle. For Pittsburgh, Minkah Fitzpatrick has already been ruled out after landing on the COVID-19 roster, while quarterback Ben Roethlisberger missed last week’s game due to the virus and will need to be activated by 4 p.m. ET to play. Meanwhile, LA has Joey Bosa, Christian Covington, Jerry Tillery and Drue Tranquill on the COVID list, but coach Brandon Staley noted that each has a chance to play.

Below, we’ll take a specific look at the different betting angles that this prime-time game has in store for us. We’ll take a look at how the lines have evolved throughout the week through to Sunday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with a handful of our favorite player accessories.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Dated: Sunday November 21 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Site: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)
NBC | Flux: fuboTV (try for free)
To follow: CBS Sports app
Chances: Chargers -5.5; O / U 47

Line movement

Latest odds:

Los Angeles Chargers -5.5

The first look at that line was Chargers -3.5, but moved to Chargers -5.5 after the club’s draw with Detroit as well as the status of a number of key players still in question.

The choice: Steelers +5.5. That’s a solid number to grab, especially with Steelers fans traveling extremely well and the Chargers having a less than ideal field advantage at home. In fact, it wouldn’t be surprising to confuse this game at Heinz Field with how the crowd should be leaning heavily in favor of Pittsburgh. When it comes to product on the pitch, I don’t care too much about who is the Steelers’ center, although the cap is high if Roethlisberger is able to clear protocol. Really, this could be another game where rookie running back Najee Harris takes over as the Chargers have the worst running defense in the NFL and allow for 155.1 rushing yards per game.

Key trend: The Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog on the road.

Over / Under total

That number opened to 48 and briefly jumped to 48.5 before Week 10, but has since dropped to 47 on Friday.

The choice: Under 47. Neither club is lighting up the scoreboard to an insane degree this season. The Steelers are averaging just 19.7 points per game for the season (25th in the NFL), while the Chargers are amassing 24.3 points per game (15th in the NFL). With the attack on the ground to be centrally presented by Pittsburgh, that should also slow the game down. Between those two teams, the Under is a combined 12-5-1 combined this season.

Key trend: The Under is 7-2 in the Steelers’ last 9 games.

Player accessories to consider

Najee Harris total rushing yards: Over 80.5 (-115). As we noted above, Harris is set to go against a Chargers run defense which is the worst in the NFL and allows massive yardage to opposing full-backs. He’s also exceeded that total in four of his last five games, including a 105-yard performance last week against Detroit.

Najee Harris total rushing / receiving yards: Over 115.5 (+100). This is a huge number, so walk lightly. That said, Harris’ involvement in the passing game puts the Over on the line here. In his last four games, Harris has averaged nearly 30 receiving yards per game. If he flirts with that number, his rushing ability should be able to push us.

Pat Freirmuth’s total receptions: Over 3.5 (-110). He’s topped that number in his last four games and averaged 7.3 targets per game during that streak. LA is also giving up about five catches per game to the opposing tight ends this season.

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